Fitting data to FMC models

OvsPPeriodSep_Op_12To test our procedure of fitting fuel moisture content (FMC) data to the different models in the literature, we have been using some data supplied by Kevin. The data involves field observations of FMC and associated weather observations. The original data was collected every 3 hours from 7am to 7pm over a number of days in an open area and in a forested area. The data was interpolated to hourly observations. Peter then fitted two hourly models of FMC (based on Catchpole et. al. and Matthews et al.) to the hourly observations. As anticipated, the predictions show a good fit to the models (see below). A similar process will be used to fit further models to the data, and to fit the models to data collected in our coming chamber and field experiments.

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